Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 405
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
B6 405 · JFK → ORD
departs 3:40 PM ET · arrives 5:34 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 50%
Thu 10/1 50%
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from JFK are often late
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.