Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 405
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
B6 405 · JFK → ORD
departs 3:40 PM ET · arrives 5:34 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 50%
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±1 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.53 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.