Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 471
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
B6 471 · LGA → FLL
departs 3:55 PM ET · arrives 7:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 34%
Thu 10/1 33%
Fri 10/2 44%
Sat 10/3 28%
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 49% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 2.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.