Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 615 IN THE AIR (OFF 6:15 PM ET, ETA 8:43 PM PT)

Tuesday, September 29 Today

B6 615 · JFK → SFO

took off 6:15 PM ET · expected to land 8:43 PM PT (scheduled 6:30 PM ET → 10:10 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SFO?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from JFK are often late

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 615 · JFK → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?