Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 798
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29
B6 798 · MCO → LGA
departs 7:12 PM ET · arrives 9:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 67%
Fri 10/2 56%
Sat 10/3 45%
Sun 10/4 51%
Mon 10/5 48%
Tue 10/6 38%
Wed 10/7 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±1 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 46% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 1,600 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.