DL 1162 · ATL → MCO

took off 10:52 PM ET · expected to land 11:52 PM ET (scheduled 10:25 PM ET → 11:58 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

LIVE

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ 10pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1162 · ATL → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?