Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1406 LANDED 4:04 PM ET, ~7 MIN EARLY

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

DL 1406 · AUS → JFK

took off 11:32 AM CT · landed 4:04 PM ET (scheduled 11:15 AM CT → 4:20 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to JFK?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1406 · AUS → JFK

Odds over time

How late did it get to JFK?