Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2196 LANDED 4:51 PM ET, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

DL 2196 · BOS → IAD

took off 3:38 PM ET · landed 4:51 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.01 in

IAD (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2196 · BOS → IAD

Odds over time