Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2196
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
DL 2196 · BOS → FLL
departs 3:32 PM ET · arrives 7:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Wed 9/30 37%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 32%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 3 mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.84 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.