Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2272
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
DL 2272 · LAS → MSP
departs 11:44 AM PT · arrives 4:54 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 19%
Thu 10/1 16%
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 757 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MSP that day
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at LAS that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.08 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 757 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 0.79 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.