DL 2295 · MSP → FAR

took off 10:52 PM CT · landed 11:33 PM CT (scheduled 10:46 PM CT → 11:51 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to FAR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at FAR that day

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ FAR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip0.54 in

FAR (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.42 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2295 · MSP → FAR

Odds over time

How late did it get to FAR?