Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2560
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
DL 2560 · MSP → RNO
departs 6:20 PM CT · arrives 7:58 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 30%
Thu 10/1 18%
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at RNO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RNO?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 757 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MSP that day
↑
6pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 757 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 0.79 in
RNO (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.