Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2612 IN THE AIR (OFF 3:20 PM CT, ETA 4:58 PM CT)

Tuesday, September 29 Today

DL 2612 · MSP → BNA

took off 3:20 PM CT · expected to land 4:58 PM CT (scheduled 3:29 PM CT → 5:35 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.57 in

BNA (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2612 · MSP → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?