Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2613 LANDED 5:43 PM PT, ~18 MIN EARLY

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

DL 2613 · SEA → SAN

took off 3:34 PM PT · landed 5:43 PM PT (scheduled 3:15 PM PT → 6:05 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SAN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

SAN (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2613 · SEA → SAN

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAN?