DL 2756 · MSP → LGA

took off 1:12 PM CT · landed 4:26 PM ET (scheduled 1:00 PM CT → 4:49 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LGA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip0.47 in

LGA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2756 · MSP → LGA

Odds over time

How late did it get to LGA?