Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2974 LANDED 2:32 PM PT, ~14 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

DL 2974 · MSP → LAX

took off 1:19 PM CT · landed 2:32 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 757 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Other factors

↑ 1pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling757 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip0.79 in

LAX (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2974 · MSP → LAX

Odds over time