Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 411 LANDED 5:10 PM AKT, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

DL 411 · MSP → ANC

took off 2:42 PM CT · landed 5:10 PM AKT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±1 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ 2pm departures from MSP are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip0.54 in

ANC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 411 · MSP → ANC

Odds over time