Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 461SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
DL 461 · SEA → JFK
departs 4:00 PM PT · arrives 12:21 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±0 pts+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.