Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 464 LANDED 1:22 PM ET, ON TIME · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

DL 464 · BOS → CVG

took off 11:45 AM ET · landed 1:22 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 11am departures from BOS are often late

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.03 in

CVG (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 464 · BOS → CVG

Odds over time