Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 464 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

DL 464 · BOS → SLC

departs 11:15 AM ET · arrives 2:20 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ 11am departures from BOS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility3 mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 464 · BOS → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?