Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 493 LANDED 3:57 PM MT, ~15 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

DL 493 · ATL → DEN

took off 3:14 PM ET · landed 3:57 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 493 · ATL → DEN

Odds over time