DL 493 · ATL → DEN

departs 3:03 PM ET · arrives 4:28 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
29%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ DEN is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.44 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 493 · ATL → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?