DL 730 · MSP → ABQ

departs 6:11 PM CT · arrives 7:55 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±10 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ABQ that day

↑ 6pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.90 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 730 · MSP → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?