Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 786 LANDED 7:21 PM PT, ~10 MIN EARLY

Tuesday, September 29 Today

DL 786 · DCA → SEA

took off 4:57 PM ET · landed 7:21 PM PT (scheduled 4:35 PM ET → 7:41 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SEA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ 4pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility9.5 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 786 · DCA → SEA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SEA?