Schedule: a typical summer Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1196
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29
F9 1196 · BUR → LAS
departs 6:00 PM PT · arrives 7:21 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 33%
Sat 10/3 30%
Mon 10/5 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±2 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
8%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 56% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at LAS that day
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.