Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1602
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
F9 1602 · LAS → PHL
departs 10:13 PM PT · arrives 6:00 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 27%
Thu 10/1 37%
Fri 10/2 37%
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4 43%
Mon 10/5 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.19 in
PHL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.