Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1874
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday
F9 1874 · DEN → OMA
departs 4:40 PM MT · arrives 7:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 58%
Thu 10/1 39%
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 34%
Tue 10/6 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OMA that day
↑
4pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OMA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.