Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1965
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
F9 1965 · IAH → LAS
departs 8:43 PM CT · arrives 9:58 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 26%
Thu 10/1 44%
Fri 10/2 36%
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 36%
Mon 10/5 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±5 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.