Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2178
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
F9 2178 · FLL → RDU
departs 2:55 PM ET · arrives 5:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 35%
Sun 10/4 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 2.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
2pm departures from FLL are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 2.19 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.