Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2395
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29
F9 2395 · CLT → IAH
departs 5:57 PM ET · arrives 7:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 42%
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3 63%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 24%
Wed 10/7 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from CLT are often late
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 5,000 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 26 kt
Ceiling 4,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.