Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3215 LANDED 6:02 PM MT, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

G4 3215 · IWA → PVU

took off 1:53 AM MSK · landed 6:02 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 27h after departure

Arrive at PVU more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IWA

↑ IWA is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IWA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

PVU (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3215 · IWA → PVU

Odds over time