Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3532 LANDED 4:11 PM MT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

MQ 3532 · DFW → RAP

took off 3:19 PM CT · landed 4:11 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RAP (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3532 · DFW → RAP

Odds over time