Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3593
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
MQ 3593 · ICT → DFW
departs 4:22 PM CT · arrives 5:49 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 68%
Fri 10/2 23%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ICT that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ICT (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.30 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.