Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3618 LANDED 9:48 PM CT, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

MQ 3618 · CLT → COU

took off 9:13 PM ET · landed 9:48 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at COU more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

COU (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3618 · CLT → COU

Odds over time