Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3653 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:45 PM CT, ETA 6:42 PM CT)

Tuesday, September 29 Today

MQ 3653 · MAF → DFW

took off 5:45 PM CT · expected to land 6:42 PM CT (scheduled 5:23 PM CT → 6:49 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

LIVE

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MAF that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MAF (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.29 in

DFW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3653 · MAF → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?