Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4145 IN THE AIR (OFF 3:08 PM CT, ETA 5:24 PM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

MQ 4145 · ORD → GSP

took off 3:08 PM CT · expected to land 5:24 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GSP

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

GSP (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4145 · ORD → GSP

Odds over time