Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5173 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:14 PM ET, ETA 6:21 PM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

OH 5173 · PVD → DCA

took off 5:14 PM ET · expected to land 6:21 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

PVD (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5173 · PVD → DCA

Odds over time