Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5179 LANDED 6:27 PM ET, ~2 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

OH 5179 · MHT → DCA

took off 5:13 PM ET · landed 6:27 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±1 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MHT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.4 mi Precip0.10 in

DCA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5179 · MHT → DCA

Odds over time