Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5431 LANDED 12:36 PM ET, ~49 MIN LATE

Tuesday, September 29

OH 5431 · HPN → CLT

took off 11:13 AM ET · landed 12:36 PM ET (scheduled 10:00 AM ET → 12:01 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ HPN is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HPN (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5431 · HPN → CLT

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLT?