Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5477 LANDED 11:17 AM ET, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

OH 5477 · BTV → CLT

took off 9:19 AM ET · landed 11:17 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at BTV that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ 9am departures from BTV are usually not late

Weather at each end

BTV (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.05 in

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5477 · BTV → CLT

Odds over time