Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5501 LANDED 7:44 PM ET, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

OH 5501 · ALB → DCA

took off 6:44 PM ET · landed 7:44 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at ALB that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ALB (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.15 in

DCA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5501 · ALB → DCA

Odds over time