Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3433 LANDED 6:39 PM PT, ~119 MIN LATE

Tuesday, September 29

OO 3433 · SEA → BLI

took off 6:14 PM PT · landed 6:39 PM PT (scheduled 3:50 PM PT → 4:46 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at BLI more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BLI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at BLI that day

↑ 3pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at SEA that day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

BLI (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.60 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3433 · SEA → BLI

Odds over time

How late did it get to BLI?