Schedule: a typical summer Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3536
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29
OO 3536 · XNA → MSP
departs 11:50 AM CT · arrives 1:48 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 17%
Mon 10/5 11%
Fri 10/9 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MSP that day
↑
MSP is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
XNA (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 0.54 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.