Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3541
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
OO 3541 · MSP → ICT
departs 8:10 PM CT · arrives 10:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 16%
Thu 10/1 18%
Fri 10/2 14%
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MSP that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ICT that day
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 1,000 ft
Visibility 1.25 mi
Precip 0.47 in
ICT (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.