Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3780
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
OO 3780 · MSP → FWA
departs 7:54 PM CT · arrives 10:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 18%
Thu 10/1 17%
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at FWA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FWA?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MSP that day
↑
7pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FWA
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 0.57 in
FWA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.