OO 3821 · MSP → MKE

departs 4:53 PM CT · arrives 6:15 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MKE?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Arrivals into MKE at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.57 in

MKE (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling10,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3821 · MSP → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?