Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3843 LANDED 3:19 PM CT, ~7 MIN EARLY

Tuesday, September 29 Today

OO 3843 · MSP → GRB

took off 2:34 PM CT · landed 3:19 PM CT (scheduled 2:20 PM CT → 3:31 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at GRB more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to GRB?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Arrivals into GRB at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.57 in

GRB (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,167 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3843 · MSP → GRB

Odds over time

How late did it get to GRB?