Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3853 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:20 PM MT, ETA 5:52 PM PT)

Tuesday, September 29 Today

OO 3853 · SLC → SBA

took off 5:20 PM MT · expected to land 5:52 PM PT (scheduled 3:00 PM MT → 4:03 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SBA?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
74%
Over 2 hours late
26%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ SLC is busy at that time

↓ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

↓ SLC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SBA (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3853 · SLC → SBA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SBA?