OO 4024 · MSP → OMA

departs 6:25 PM CT · arrives 7:47 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±7 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to OMA?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Cloud base down to 833 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OMA that day

↑ 6pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.90 in

OMA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling833 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.54 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4024 · MSP → OMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to OMA?