Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4911 IN THE AIR (OFF 7:17 PM CT, ETA 8:09 PM MT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

OO 4911 · DFW → ASE

took off 7:17 PM CT · expected to land 8:09 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ASE (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4911 · DFW → ASE

Odds over time